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The data analysis is not straightforward. You would expect a driver's decision to use Autopilot to be correlated with the ability of the Autopilot to handle the
by scott00 3y ago
The data analysis is not straightforward. You would expect a driver's decision to use Autopilot to be correlated with the ability of the Autopilot to handle the conditions. So just comparing Autopilot accidents per mile to human accidents per mile won't cut it.
- sinuhe69 3y agoIf so then at least, auto pilot is not harmful, is it?
- esjeon 3y agoIt is still harmful in the sense that it gives a false sense of safety. See those lethal accidents where drivers were totally distracted.
- sokoloff 3y agoHow do you conclude that? GP’s premise amounts to “if the overall rate of human crashes per million miles is H and the autopilot rate is A, even if A is half of H, that doesn’t tell you anything about the relative safety if autopilot is engaged during a particularly safe subset of overall driving.”
- sebzim4500 3y agoMy suggestion is to compare Tesla accidents per mile to non-Tesla accidents per mile. If people are being lulled into a false sense of security by AP then this should show up in the data.
- scott00 3y agoA similar problem exists with that analysis. Tesla ownership is probably correlated to the amount of time/miles spent in driving conditions where Autopilot is effective. You also add a whole bunch of other confounding factors if you're not comparing same-driver accident rates. Accident rates vary by location, city/highway driving mix, driver attributes (age, gender, credit score, etc), and probably many other things that may be correlated with Tesla ownership.