Careful. That claim about half of AI researchers was probably overestimating: To summarize: The claim—that half of AI researchers believe that there is at leas

Careful. That claim about half of AI researchers was probably overestimating: To summarize: The claim—that half of AI researchers believe that there is at least a 10% chance that rogue AI will kill us all—is based on a survey question that included 162 respondents. All we know about these respondents is that they were authors on papers published at 2021 machine learning conferences. Possible confounding issues are vagueness of the question, small sample size, response bias, confidence of responses, and level of expertise. https://aiguide.substack.com/p/do-half-of-ai-researchers-believe https://aiguide.substack.com/p/do-half-of-ai-researchers-bel...