3 ms·
Silver predicts White Sox lose 90 games. Is ridiculed in baseball circles. Vindicated when they end up sucking. Silver predicts Rays win 88 games. Is ridiculed
by jpavlik 18y ago
Silver predicts White Sox lose 90 games. Is ridiculed in baseball circles. Vindicated when they end up sucking.
Silver predicts Rays win 88 games. Is ridiculed further. Rays win 97 games and go to the World Series. Absolute vindication.
That said, I hate his player projection systems. You can't predict baseball (though he comes about as close as you can).
- fallentimes 18y agoWhy don't you like player projection systems? While it's impossible to accurately predict almost anything as complex as baseball consistently, players projections are an awesome tool.
- jpavlik 18y agoI can understand why people like them. I don't say they suck and they're of no use. I just don't like them personally. Not really sure why. I think it's because the line "you can't predict baseball" keeps running through my head. PECOTA is as accurate as they come, though.
- fallentimes 18y agoThe GM of the Arizona Diamondbacks is a stats whiz as well: http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/2008/09/14/20080914biz-dbackbyrnes0914.html http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/2008/0... http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/diamondbacks/2007-10-08-joshbyrnes_N.htm http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/nl/diamondbacks/2007... This year wasn't an accident.