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> Global sea surface temperature for all of 2023 have been above 2 standard deviations of the 1982-2011 mean I'm not arguing about the consequences of this, bu
by 7402 3y ago
> Global sea surface temperature for all of 2023 have been above 2 standard deviations of the 1982-2011 mean
I'm not arguing about the consequences of this, but it doesn't mean much to say that a normal distribution exceeds the mean by 2 standard deviations 2.1% of the time - that's mathematics, not climatology. It's been about 41 years since 1982, and 1 / 41 = 2.4%.
It's the positive trend that's significant, not the simple fact of variation.
- pveierland 3y agoI get your point, however in this case the trend is clearly positive: https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-sea-surface-temperature https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indica... https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-indicators/sea-surface-temperature https://climate.copernicus.eu/climate-indicators/sea-surface...
- adammarples 3y agoI might be wrong but I don't think that data on a clear linear trend is actually normally distributed at all