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I don't disagree with you. But consider this. The way you're putting is "Russia did X therefore they knew (meaning predicted/guessed) that Y was gonna happen".

I don't disagree with you. But consider this. The way you're putting is "Russia did X therefore they knew (meaning predicted/guessed) that Y was gonna happen". I don't disagree. However, the other person said "Russia saw it coming, it was doing X before Y". This inverts the causality because it suggests that Y was gonna happen regardless, and as a consequence they started X ahead of time. Russia wants to be a superpower, but somehow is always the victim.

roenxi 3y ago
I don't think the relation is all that strong. The US wasn't especially sanctioned after Iraq for example. As far as I know no US assets were frozen and seized. Although, to be fair, maybe people were sanctioning them and nobody noticed because the US is pretty robust. Stealing stuff isn't a usual global response to unjust wars. The US was looking for a good excuse, and it got one. But I doubt there was a rule on the book saying that they were going to wipe their owings to Russia if the Ukraine was invaded. It isn't like Ukraine is in NATO or has some sort of defensive treaty with the US, all the activity is their initiative because they want to give Russia a black eye/topple Putin.