3 ms·
There is a hi chance that one or both will happen in 50 years, and this is gonna be real revolution, not this gpt/blockhain scam: 1. Controlled thermonuclear e
by aristofun 3y ago
There is a hi chance that one or both will happen in 50 years, and this is gonna be real revolution, not this gpt/blockhain scam:
1. Controlled thermonuclear energy (bye oil, hello new crysis in eastern oil backed countries)
2. New type of batteries (hello flying drone taxis, bye old cars, planes and ways of transportation, bye ineffective “alternative” energy)
- ano88888 3y agoi think the 'gpt scam' that you alleged will likely turn 50 years into 20 years. year 2023 - gpt4 launched year 2030 - AGI or sth equivalant launched and can create new knowlege and invent new tools at an astonisng speed year 2040 - you will have 1 and 2 and much more
- aristofun 3y agoI bet today’s 1000$ there will be no such thing as AGI in 50 years. Unless the definition of AGI will be bent to fulfill the craving.
- ano88888 3y agoWell , can you really define AGI? Doesn't your definition of AGI change? Tons of people would already regard gpt4 as AGI ( though i think it is definitely not yet). We humans don't even fully understand our own intelligence and conciousness. We can't really define our own intelligence in a definte way. eg If your definition of AGI is it has a soul like some belive we are , then we will probably never have AGI as it can never be proved. For me, if an 'AGI' can have human like general behaviour/intelligence of better-than-average humans than it qualifies as AGI. I don't really care it is just statistics deep down just like we are just a bunch of molecures connecting to each other in some particular way.
- aristofun 3y agoThat's the point! Until we define the intelligense - we'll keep cargoculting next fancy neural network as a miracle.