Here's my theory: if you look at surveys, it does say a 10% chance or so of an extremely bad outcome. BUT it says a ~20% chance of an extremely good outcome, a

Here's my theory: if you look at surveys, it does say a 10% chance or so of an extremely bad outcome. BUT it says a ~20% chance of an extremely good outcome, and an 80% chance of at least a neutral one. Simple cost benefit analysis.