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There is broad consensus amongs experts. With recent improvements in renewables, renewable positive people have said "we now think 100% wind, solar, battery is
by ZeroGravitas 4y ago
There is broad consensus amongs experts.
With recent improvements in renewables, renewable positive people have said "we now think 100% wind, solar, battery is feasible" after a few years of saying 80% renewables is doable and the last 20% is tricky and people less enthusiastic about renewables are saying "we're still thinking that having 10-20% nuclear might work out slightly cheaper".
Even countries like France and Japan which are very nuclear positive, are not talking about 100% nuclear and have aggressive renewable rollouts planned:
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/frances-renewables-growth-falling-below-targets-report-says-2023-01-24/ https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/frances-renewables-g...
The extreme anti-renewable, pro-nuclear opinions you find on HN are bizarre and nonsensical. They're basically remnants of climate change denial.
edit: for example this is a summary from 2017 where they're nervously optimistic about getting to 100% but are fairly confident about getting to 60%
https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/4/7/15159034/100-renewable-energy-studies https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/4/7/15159034...
> Again, it’s all about balancing out VRE. The easiest way to do that is with fast, flexible natural gas plants, but you can’t get past around 60 percent decarbonization with a large fleet of gas plants running. Getting to 80 percent or beyond means closing or idling lots of those plants. So you need other balancing options.
- Vecr 4y agoWhy is it like climate change denial? I don't get it.
- ZeroGravitas 4y agoBecause neither make any sense except as ways to justify continuing burning fossil fuels, but to disguise that fact from themselves, a believer needs to invent the most absurd conspiracy theories.