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I love how the popular vote is only ever mentioned when it’s to defend the idea that all these analyses “were actually right” You’re not getting it. The analys
by beerpls 3y ago
I love how the popular vote is only ever mentioned when it’s to defend the idea that all these analyses “were actually right”
You’re not getting it. The analysis, the “28%” - those were wring. those were poor analyses
Yea they came back after and made up some bs about “oh we know what we did wrong now!”
When I was in school all the people who were cheating their way through math did the same thing. They couldn’t solve the problem, and the second you gave them the answer they magically “got it”
Fortune telling is a business of luck. Unless you can convince your followers that you’re right even when you’re clearly wrong
- titzer 3y agoForecasting a 28% chance of something happening is likely to end with it happening about 1 out of 4 times. At this point you are just being deliberately obtuse.
- beerpls 3y ago[flagged]
- hnfong 3y ago> Fortune telling is a business of luck. It's more of a business of being connected to some forms of future reality. I can understand if people think nobody can do better than pure chance, but even so, I'm pretty sure the folks who believe statistics could give them an edge are quite misguided.