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Yea, cherry picking is an excellent way to claim you’re right when reality doesn’t agree Go back and get an aggregate sense of everything he said. Look at 90%+

Yea, cherry picking is an excellent way to claim you’re right when reality doesn’t agree Go back and get an aggregate sense of everything he said. Look at 90%+ if the articles he wrote saying what I said compared to the one or two that y’all want to keep referring to For people discussing stats there’s a very strong inability to grok averages here…

Nition 3y ago
I only linked that one because it's the main page where they posted their data. Its easy to check what he was saying too, we can just look at the archive from the same day of Nate Silver's posts : https://web.archive.org/web/20161108082405/https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/nate-silver https://web.archive.org/web/20161108082405/https://fivethirt... They're all about how it's a very close, uncertain race. You might point out that the top one is "Clinton Gains...", but even that one is just talking about "Clinton’s projected margin of victory in the popular vote has increased to 3.5 percent from 2.9 percent." I did try looking up your quote - "greatest margin in presidential history" - but the only Google result was your comment.
- re5i5tor 3y ago
  I was there watching. Maybe Silver doesn’t understand how to communicate verbally, only through numbers designed for consumption by statisticians. The impression he gave in his comments, if not these exact words — Hillary in a landslide. Communication is a skill. Like the skill of a great sportscaster like Scully. Election reporting is, I’m sure, a similar unique skill set. Silver doesn’t have it, and I never want to listen to him again.
  - dragonwriter 3y ago
    > Maybe Silver doesn’t understand how to communicate verbally, only through numbers designed for consumption by statisticians. Nate Silver the pundit and TV personality and Nate Silver the constructor of statistical models are, oddly, like completely different beasts.
- beerpls 3y ago
  [flagged]

Nition 3y ago

I only linked that one because it's the main page where they posted their data. Its easy to check what he was saying too, we can just look at the archive from the same day of Nate Silver's posts : https://web.archive.org/web/20161108082405/https://fivethirtyeight.com/contributors/nate-silver https://web.archive.org/web/20161108082405/https://fivethirt... They're all about how it's a very close, uncertain race. You might point out that the top one is "Clinton Gains...", but even that one is just talking about "Clinton’s projected margin of victory in the popular vote has increased to 3.5 percent from 2.9 percent." I did try looking up your quote - "greatest margin in presidential history" - but the only Google result was your comment.

re5i5tor 3y ago
I was there watching. Maybe Silver doesn’t understand how to communicate verbally, only through numbers designed for consumption by statisticians. The impression he gave in his comments, if not these exact words — Hillary in a landslide. Communication is a skill. Like the skill of a great sportscaster like Scully. Election reporting is, I’m sure, a similar unique skill set. Silver doesn’t have it, and I never want to listen to him again.
- dragonwriter 3y ago
  > Maybe Silver doesn’t understand how to communicate verbally, only through numbers designed for consumption by statisticians. Nate Silver the pundit and TV personality and Nate Silver the constructor of statistical models are, oddly, like completely different beasts.
beerpls 3y ago
[flagged]