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Here's the actual report: https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2023.pdf https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2023.pdf Future of Jobs R

Here's the actual report: https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2023.pdf https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2023.pdf Future of Jobs Report, 2023 It's almost 300 pages long. I'm not even sure what's most interesting so far. Largest job decline? Data entry clerks, Administrative and executive secretaries, Accounting, bookkeeping and payroll clerks, Security Gauards and Building caretakers and housekeepers are the top 5. Largest job growth? Agricultural equipment operators is number 1, followed by truck/bis drivers, then Vocational teachers, Mechanics and Business development professionals

bryanrasmussen 3y ago
why would security guards decline though? I would expect in a society with rising inequality that private security would increase.
- pydry 3y ago
  Increased prevalence of CCTV perhaps.
  - ortusdux 3y ago
    There is a fair amount of new tech coming out soon. Ring sells their drone security camera, and I expect to see outdoor patrolling drones soon. There is also the new WIFI tech that can detect people via mesh network signal interference. One company is already selling a home security network that leverages it. We will soon see plenty of cheap mesh systems that can count the number of people on the property and recognize types of motion.
    - bryanrasmussen 3y ago
      >We will soon see plenty of cheap mesh systems that can count the number of people on the property and recognize types of motion. hmm, at first I was thinking burglars gonna have a hard time if their target is big businesses but I guess it's the same as today - you break in, you enter the code that you know somehow OR you break in, after dismantling security in some way? I guess though it would be a good tool for outdoor security, but then the main deterrent of a security guard there is they have a gun and come running when you're stealing the stuff.
      - ortusdux 3y ago
        My first thought for big businesses would be smart badges with positioning and biometrics. That way their system could cross-reference the number and location of known individuals with detected people.
- m463 3y ago
  I would imagine "smart" surveillance cameras which can do all kinds of coordinated motion sensing and tracking, and possibly keyless entry systems which eliminate the guard at the front door.
- xnx 3y ago
  Less people in-office -> less office space -> less security guards Less in-person retail -> less security guards
lostmsu 3y ago
> followed by truck/bis drivers If AI fullfills its promises these are probably under the most danger.
tomwojcik 3y ago
Funny how just a few years ago they were saying that truck drivers are doomed because they will be replaced by fully autonomous trucks.

bryanrasmussen 3y ago

why would security guards decline though? I would expect in a society with rising inequality that private security would increase.

pydry 3y ago
Increased prevalence of CCTV perhaps.
- ortusdux 3y ago
  There is a fair amount of new tech coming out soon. Ring sells their drone security camera, and I expect to see outdoor patrolling drones soon. There is also the new WIFI tech that can detect people via mesh network signal interference. One company is already selling a home security network that leverages it. We will soon see plenty of cheap mesh systems that can count the number of people on the property and recognize types of motion.
  - bryanrasmussen 3y ago
    >We will soon see plenty of cheap mesh systems that can count the number of people on the property and recognize types of motion. hmm, at first I was thinking burglars gonna have a hard time if their target is big businesses but I guess it's the same as today - you break in, you enter the code that you know somehow OR you break in, after dismantling security in some way? I guess though it would be a good tool for outdoor security, but then the main deterrent of a security guard there is they have a gun and come running when you're stealing the stuff.
    - ortusdux 3y ago
      My first thought for big businesses would be smart badges with positioning and biometrics. That way their system could cross-reference the number and location of known individuals with detected people.
m463 3y ago
I would imagine "smart" surveillance cameras which can do all kinds of coordinated motion sensing and tracking, and possibly keyless entry systems which eliminate the guard at the front door.
xnx 3y ago
Less people in-office -> less office space -> less security guards Less in-person retail -> less security guards

lostmsu 3y ago

> followed by truck/bis drivers If AI fullfills its promises these are probably under the most danger.

tomwojcik 3y ago

Funny how just a few years ago they were saying that truck drivers are doomed because they will be replaced by fully autonomous trucks.