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25% of jobs set to be disrupted in the next 5 years – A.I. could play a key role
- ghaff 3y agoAn actual quote from the article: "Technology is also not the only factor at play when it comes to job disruption, according to WEF. In fact, it comes sixth on the list of factors leading to net job creation or elimination."
- pydry 3y agoIts key role will be as a pitchfork-immune scapegoat.
- tenebrisalietum 3y agoSome has to train the models.
- deleted 3y ago[deleted]
- ghaff 3y agoAnd per another deleted comment, things like automation tools are supposedly already about simplifying automation relative to earlier configuration management systems that required a lot of specific expertise. "AI LLMs" or not, of course, better more modern tools are going to try to simplify writing automation.
- SrslyJosh 3y agoIn my experience, automation is an effort-multiplier, not a substitute for expertise.
- ar_lan 3y agoIf this is a true threat, I don't imagine us retaining a capitalist society for very long. AI is basically the dream for socialism, and the antithesis for capitalism (except for the capitalists that win the arms race). In any case, I've never been one to say that technology enhancements for humanity is a bad thing. It's only the powers that be that can wield it for bad.
- User23 3y agoHow do you figure? To me it looks like AI, especially Boston Dynamics style killbots, are the capitalist autocrat's wet dream.
- monsieurgaufre 3y agoIf AI able to do every job, do you really think that people will just starve to death because capitalism-the-ideology? Also, there's more of "us" ("workers" which, btw, are knowledgeable about the infrastructure) than billionaires.
- User23 3y agoYes hence my going straight to kill-bots. You won't starve to death, you'll get shot by a kill-bot for breaking some law on the books that permits it, like messing with the capitalist autocrat's stuff. I'm not saying it's a guaranteed win, I'm saying I really don't see how AI is anything other than a net win for an autocrat with plenty of capital.
- monsieurgaufre 3y agoAh, I misunderstood your point. You're right that this is a possible avenue. I just hope you're wrong. Or we may have some kind of butlerian jihad on the table in the future.
- weatherlite 3y agoSounds like something that can happen in the 3d world or China, not the West. If it were that easy people like Jeff Bezos would have a fleet of F-15s and nuclear missiles.
- Jeff_Brown 3y agoIt's a race between unemployment and the UBI. A UBI of 1000 USD per month would cost the US around 20% of GDP even if nobody stopped working, so it's not feasible yet, but it could be within our lifetimes.
- blakesterz 3y agoHere's the actual report: https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2023.pdf https://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2023.pdf Future of Jobs Report, 2023 It's almost 300 pages long. I'm not even sure what's most interesting so far. Largest job decline? Data entry clerks, Administrative and executive secretaries, Accounting, bookkeeping and payroll clerks, Security Gauards and Building caretakers and housekeepers are the top 5. Largest job growth? Agricultural equipment operators is number 1, followed by truck/bis drivers, then Vocational teachers, Mechanics and Business development professionals
- bryanrasmussen 3y agowhy would security guards decline though? I would expect in a society with rising inequality that private security would increase.
- pydry 3y agoIncreased prevalence of CCTV perhaps.
- ortusdux 3y agoThere is a fair amount of new tech coming out soon. Ring sells their drone security camera, and I expect to see outdoor patrolling drones soon. There is also the new WIFI tech that can detect people via mesh network signal interference. One company is already selling a home security network that leverages it. We will soon see plenty of cheap mesh systems that can count the number of people on the property and recognize types of motion.
- bryanrasmussen 3y ago>We will soon see plenty of cheap mesh systems that can count the number of people on the property and recognize types of motion. hmm, at first I was thinking burglars gonna have a hard time if their target is big businesses but I guess it's the same as today - you break in, you enter the code that you know somehow OR you break in, after dismantling security in some way? I guess though it would be a good tool for outdoor security, but then the main deterrent of a security guard there is they have a gun and come running when you're stealing the stuff.
- erikerikson 3y agoIt's always frustrating to me, the headline about the destroyed jobs. Very rarely any mention of the new jobs or the fact that the jobs that were destroyable were also often not a whole lot of fun in the first place. Or that we are maintaining the good things we have with even have human capital available to accomplish ever more (hopefully) important things.
- Xylakant 3y agoThe issue with destroying the boring menial tasks is that as a society, we have not come up with a replacement for them. Some people rely on those for their livelihood and have not had the good fortune of an education that allows for higher qualifications. And those people are left behind - society could educate them, just pay them a living stipend, whatever. But in the end, the profits gained from the eliminating these jobs go in the pockets of the high qualified and to a massive extend to those that own the capital.
- monero-xmr 3y agoWrong, wrong, wrong. The benefits of increased productivity go to all of society that can now get more of their wants fulfilled as less people need to be devoted to fulfilling said want. 99% of humanity used to spend their lives farming and now it’s 1%. I don’t bemoan that 98% of farmers are now out of work. We are at historically low unemployment. People have found new desires to be fulfilled and created businesses to fulfill them, forever and ever.
- Xylakant 3y agoI’m not disputing that society as a whole may win - but the gains are not equally distributed. Look at all the gig economy jobs that are thriving because the other jobs are even more exploitative. Look at the Amazon warehouse workers and delivery drivers that pee in bottles and shit in bags. Are they profiting? They’re clearly not. They may be able to buy a bigger phone or a larger tv, but in the end, they’re often worse off than what a worker at ford or gm had on the factory floor.
- 5350-uiop-1130 3y agoAI is welcome to take my job. Not that I ever had a say in it to begin with. I just hope that something good might come of it but I don't expect it will, looking back at history.
- ilrwbwrkhv 3y agoCoulda woulda shoulda. I am waiting for CNBC to be disrupted. Then such nonsensical articles won't be written.
- morkalork 3y agoBuzzFeed, Gawker and now Vice media are bankrupt. I'm sure they're just the beginning.
- 908B64B197 3y agoOnly BuzzFeed News right? The "regular" BuzzFeed is still there.
- dotcoma 3y agoFive years ago self-driving cars were going to disrupt everything…
- albatross13 3y ago[flagged]
- mensetmanusman 3y agoThe capital owners finally have a tool they can use to leverage their McDuck pile of gold into even more power!
- SrslyJosh 3y agoAI is full of bullshit hype, especially around LLMs, but they can and will use the fear of AI to lower wages, reduce benefits, etc., even if the shit doesn't actually work.
- operatingthetan 3y agoDoesn't that signal that there was an imbalance in the market though? E.g. wages and benefits went up (theoretically) in response to demand in the market.
- mysterydip 3y agoI wonder if we started talking about AI as a cost-effective replacement for CEOs, VPs, or upper management, if we'd see the same level of enthusiasm.
- throwmamatrain 3y agohttps://openai.com/research/gpts-are-gpts https://openai.com/research/gpts-are-gpts Another source of info.
- lee101 3y ago[dead]