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The point of the article is that the per-mile cost of cars is actually much higher than you think if you include the externalities. Autonomous cars that work a
by eli 3y ago
The point of the article is that the per-mile cost of cars is actually much higher than you think if you include the externalities.
Autonomous cars that work as you describe are not anywhere close to being ready. And I don't think the math works if they're a replacement for mass transit.
- maerF0x0 3y agoDepending on how you do the accounting, some folks feel the cost of a _user mile_ is much higher in public transit, largely because of low utilization. Perennially people say it will get better as more use it, but It's a hard chicken/egg issue to only do the highest demand routes, but folks wont use it unless they can get their _entire_ needs covered.
- eli 3y agoI'm not sure about that, but even if true: public transit can scale up to support a whole city using current technology. Driving can't.
- maerF0x0 3y agoI suppose the current technology bit does restrict things massively. But I will say that there are a ton of options to optimized the current single occupant vehicle model. Self Driving can do a lot of things that increase the efficiency of roadways. Eg: If everyone's vehicle went to a fixed 10mph idle speed as soon as the light turned green we'd get far more vehicles through a light rather than cascading 1-2 second reaction times to the next vehicle's brake lights (and much more if the person is on their phone, which is increasingly common) . Eg2: Self driving cars could drive much closer to eachother, and actually pre-communicate intent to brake giving the effect of negative reaction time. (relative to humans)