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> FiveThirtyEight's political forecasts absolutely provide a desirable service! Who doesn't want to know who will win an upcoming election? Does it actually wo
by melvinmelih 3y ago
> FiveThirtyEight's political forecasts absolutely provide a desirable service! Who doesn't want to know who will win an upcoming election?
Does it actually work though? I don’t think they were able to predict the past 3 presidential elections, so not sure where they provide value.
- parasubvert 3y agoFiveThirtyEight has had astonishing accuracy since 2008. They don’t pick winners, they provide data analytics of polls and other factors. People may not appreciate probability theory but this is far more reality based than what passed for political analysis prior to 2008.