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I remember leading up to Election Day his predictions were giving her 66% and Trump 33% (IIRC). Which means if you roll a die and it comes up as 1 or 2 then Tru
by doctoboggan 3y ago
I remember leading up to Election Day his predictions were giving her 66% and Trump 33% (IIRC). Which means if you roll a die and it comes up as 1 or 2 then Trump wins (which isn't all that unlikely)
Many people mistook these numbers to mean Clinton was going to get 66% of the vote and thus were expecting a landslide, but that is not what his numbers meant.
Now I wasn't reading any of the analysis he or his team was putting out, but the modeling seemed reasonable to me.