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Stress tests never modeled for interest rates rising, but keep banging the regulations drum. See https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/dfa-stress-tests
by brvsft 3y ago
Stress tests never modeled for interest rates rising, but keep banging the regulations drum.
See https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/dfa-stress-tests-2022.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/dfa-stress-tes...
- jonathankoren 3y agoFunny that you cite the Federal Reserve, because they literally say the exact opposite of what you're saying. "The Board’s tailoring approach in response to the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (EGRRCPA) and a shift in the stance of supervisory policy impeded effective supervision by reducing standards, increasing complexity, and promoting a less assertive supervisory approach." https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20230428a.htm https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcre... https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-fed-points-finger-trump-era-rollback-svb-demise-2023-04-29/ https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-fed-points-finge...
- brvsft 3y agoI cited the stress tests that you were referring to. Do you have anything to say about the fact that the stress tests did not model reality? Did you read tables 2.A and 3.A in the stress tests document? If you're so eager to bring up the stress tests, why do you shirk any attempt to understand what the stress tests modeled? Also, I do not care who the Fed points the finger at, especially considering their stress tests failed to predict the future in which interest rates rose as dramatically as they have over the last year and a half. Incidentally, interest rates are one of the only things the Fed has control over, so you might take some time to ponder the total absuridity that their stress tests failed to model for something they ended up doing in the real world.
- jonathankoren 3y agoWhy bother? You admitted have your conclusion and violently react to anything that contradicts your faith based reality. (“ I do not care who the Fed points the finger at”)
- brvsft 3y agoThe absurdity of referring to the stress tests and then refusing to understand what's in them is on you. You call it a "violent" reaction and talk about my "faith based" reality. Yet I'm the one who just read the stress tests and linked them here. I'm living in I-read-the-actual-stress-tests reality. You're not. So whose reality is faith based? And if there was anything violent about my reaction, it's to your arrogant, "Funny that you..." comment. Watch your tone. Anyone with critical thinking skills who reads this exchange: seriously, go read the stress tests, look at the interest rates, and compare them to what interest rates currently are. The only reasonable conclusion is that the stress tests would not have prepared these banks in any meaningful way for what ended up happening. Of course, none of this even means that regulations are bad, or that Trump-era rollback of regulations was good. It just means the existing regulations were inadequate anyway. And acting like the stress tests would have prevented anything is a disingenuous or ignorant position. In your case, it's ignorance.