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Yes, I know that, but why should I as an individual risk my deposits in a bank? Before digital payments took off it was entirely feasible for a regular person t
by opportune 3y ago
Yes, I know that, but why should I as an individual risk my deposits in a bank? Before digital payments took off it was entirely feasible for a regular person to be what we’d now call unbanked or underbanked. I’m pretty sure my grandfather was greatly underbanked well into the 90s and aughts. I’m sure many banked because they didn’t want to keep track of all their cash physically hanging around, but banks had to actually compete against “stuff it under your mattress” by passing on rates and other ways of providing value.
The advent of online banking and digital payments added enough value that there was really no reason to continue to be unbanked or underbanked for most people. But IMO banks have begun to take depositors for granted by offering poor interest rates and exposing us to more risk than necessary (certainly more than justifies checking or savings rates). With the recent spat of bank failures roughly coinciding with crypto, which also provides online banking and digital payment functionality, the Fed/banks need to recognize that there is a real risk that depositors will opt back out of traditional banking.
I think a shift off the dollar and onto crypto would be much worse (personally, but also for banking) than the Fed offering a path to digital mattress stuffing of the USD, because at least with that they can still influence monetary policy and keep people on the dollar. I also suspect, but have no data, that our shift towards structurally low rates and high asset prices over the last half century was partially influenced by banks’ relative share of the monetary supply increasing so much that too many deposits are stuck chasing yield/credit is too accessible for activities perceived as low risk: so if some deposits shift onto a Fed narrow bank, banks will at least find it easier to loan and offer interest at higher rates. But even beside that, I as an individual should not be obligated to deposit my money into a banking system that gives me poor risk:reward - and when better options exist, I might not. So the banks and Fed better figure out something better than crypto or a fireproof safe.