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There’s a non zero chance of two great filters ahead of us, expanding sun or asteroid impact
by kirykl 3y ago
There’s a non zero chance of two great filters ahead of us, expanding sun or asteroid impact
- P_I_Staker 3y agoYeah, I was gonna say, I think catastrophes are a simpler example. Good chance of that or supervolcano, or any of the above. There could be that if you bundle together all of these major events that either kill all, or set us back, that it takes more than 5-10 billion years to produce a civilization that can advance far beyond their planet. The dinosaurs were close to 0.1 billion years ago, and they existed for 0.165 billion years. So repeat 100 tries and your luck runs out. Sorry if there's math or other mistakes. Of course we haven't had 0.1 billion years of intelligent life, but 0.003 billion... I believe there were more than one extinction event in the 0.165B years of dinosaurs.