4 ms·
Complete thermohaline collapse takes a thousand years, not a hundred years. There will be a slight thermohaline weakening, but no collapse any time soon. Unfort
by creatonez 3y ago
Complete thermohaline collapse takes a thousand years, not a hundred years. There will be a slight thermohaline weakening, but no collapse any time soon. Unfortunately journalists have gotten the concepts of complete collapse and weakening totally mixed up, to come to various conclusions that the peer-reviewed literature does not. The other various effects of climate change are much more significant and notable -- and are best documented by the new IPCC synthesis reports rather than one specific documentary film.
- hedora 3y agoThe fossil record (as of the 1990’s) has 100 year granularity, and it shows CO2 increases start in step N, then European ice age is underway in step N+1. Statistics tells us that the expected time between the start of the event and the second sample is 100/2 = 50 years. Current climate simulations are showing a reasonable chance of this happening over a 150 year span, but then the observed climate changes keep trending to worst case (and closer to fossil record).