4 ms·
"In reality, the Dow is not at 13,000 today as we knew 13k to be back in 1998/99 during the huge stock market bubble. Inflation has eroded that nominal value by
by johngalt 15y ago
"In reality, the Dow is not at 13,000 today as we knew 13k to be back in 1998/99 during the huge stock market bubble. Inflation has eroded that nominal value by at least half. The Dow is more likely at 5,000 to 6,500 depending on what you believe real inflation has been over the past 14 years (not the Fed's bogus CPI numbers)."
...
"Nearly all of his big market gains peg to one period of time, the 1970s, when stocks were once-in-a-generation cheap; his timing was brilliant, but it was an exceedingly rare scenario."
You are on to something here, and you don't recognize it.
- fennecfoxen 15y agoMany economists believe that the CPI actually overstates inflation, in the long run, for a variety of reasons - quips about how "you can't eat an iPad" notwithstanding.