3 ms·
So latimes.com's article blew it out of proportions. 2% chance of disaster is not nearly the same as "so certain was he that the shuttle would blow up."
by dennisgorelik 15y ago
So latimes.com's article blew it out of proportions.
2% chance of disaster is not nearly the same as "so certain was he that the shuttle would blow up."
- blasdel 15y agoYou're conflating two different estimates: Boisjoly was certain that the particular launch would fail, and a survey of engineers gave a 1-2% estimate for failure across all flights. Both of those predictions turned out to be extraordinarily accurate.