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S-curves and exponential curves look exactly alike until the S-curve tops out, and nobody would argue generative AI is late in the hype cycle. And we've seen a
by notahacker 4y ago
S-curves and exponential curves look exactly alike until the S-curve tops out, and nobody would argue generative AI is late in the hype cycle. And we've seen a lot of S-curves in the returns to particular innovations...
The burden of proof lies on the person making the extraordinary claim that returns to this particular technology breakthrough will accelerate infinitely, not the person doubting that. Suffice to say I've heard more persuasive arguments in favour of this time it's different than "software has already eaten the world"...
- nerpderp82 4y agoWhat corrective action or statement are you looking for or are you arguing for the sake of arguing?
- notahacker 4y agoIf you'd had the ability to substantiate your claim that this time, the returns are exponential, it'd have been a more interesting exchange ....
- nerpderp82 4y agoI don't need to entertain you on why we are on an exponential AI curve. If you want to have rewarding conversations, bring some reward to the table.