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Are you saying we are on an S-curve for AI? In HN speak, "It's difficult to see why one would assume we're on an AI S-curve, given the rapid development and gl
by nerpderp82 4y ago
Are you saying we are on an S-curve for AI?
In HN speak, "It's difficult to see why one would assume we're on an AI S-curve, given the rapid development and global focus on generative AI. It appears we're on an exponential curve, though it remains to be seen how this will unfold. The burden of proof lies with you to support your assertion and provide evidence for an S-curve rather than an exponential one."
- notahacker 4y agoS-curves and exponential curves look exactly alike until the S-curve tops out, and nobody would argue generative AI is late in the hype cycle. And we've seen a lot of S-curves in the returns to particular innovations... The burden of proof lies on the person making the extraordinary claim that returns to this particular technology breakthrough will accelerate infinitely, not the person doubting that. Suffice to say I've heard more persuasive arguments in favour of this time it's different than "software has already eaten the world"...
- nerpderp82 4y agoWhat corrective action or statement are you looking for or are you arguing for the sake of arguing?
- notahacker 4y agoIf you'd had the ability to substantiate your claim that this time, the returns are exponential, it'd have been a more interesting exchange ....
- nerpderp82 4y agoI don't need to entertain you on why we are on an exponential AI curve. If you want to have rewarding conversations, bring some reward to the table.