3 ms·
Beyond mocking someone who was clearly wrong, is there something to be learned? How can we avoid this in our own current thinking about what may succeed or not
by zmmmmm 4y ago
Beyond mocking someone who was clearly wrong, is there something to be learned? How can we avoid this in our
own current thinking about what may succeed or not?
Apple is about to launch another product that people are deeply sceptical of -
their VR glasses. Very very few people I know seem to believe this is going to work and become a mass market product in the end (even people inside Apple,
apparently).
Are they wrong? are they right?
What about the thinking distinguishes it from the incorrect predictions of failure
for the iPhone?
- matthewdgreen 4y agoIt’s hard to say because we haven’t seen the glasses. If someone gives me a pair and they’re an order-of-magnitude quality improvement over previous VR sets, maybe they’ll be right. There is certainly some level of AR/VR hardware that would be amazing enough that the space takes off, it’s just that we haven’t seen it yet. That’s where the iPhone was in 2008: order-of-magnitude improvement over every previous smartphone. The author of this piece recognized that and didn’t even dispute it; they just thought that Windows Phone would somehow be better (for nebulous reasons.) It wasn’t. The reasons for that might be worth discussing.