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And this is a surprise? I didn't need research to determine this, I just kept up with the news.

• scott_s 15y ago
  http://lesswrong.com/lw/im/hindsight_devalues_science/ http://lesswrong.com/lw/im/hindsight_devalues_science/
  • talmand 15y ago
    It's not hindsight as I'm reading the news article that day.
    • scott_s 15y ago
      Yes, it's hindsight because you're reading the conclusions of a study and saying "I could have guessed that." But you didn't know that, you suspected it. The point of doing such studies is to know. I also suspect, but obviously can't demonstrate, that someone would have said the same thing ("I could have told you that") were the conclusion the opposite.
      • deleted 15y ago
        [deleted]