2 ms·

> Chip scaling still seems to be going pretty fast it's not been exponential for years > So we could end up hitting a wall with chip scaling we did, years ag

> Chip scaling still seems to be going pretty fast it's not been exponential for years > So we could end up hitting a wall with chip scaling we did, years ago

circuit10 4y ago
“it's not been exponential for years” Really? Even a 5% generation-to-generation improvement would be exponential, it’s just 1.05 to the power of the generation. If it was linear you’d have benchmark results scaling by a fixed number of points each generation, which doesn’t seem to be a thing as far as I know
- blibble 4y ago
  > Even a 5% generation-to-generation improvement would be exponential, it’s just 1.05 to the power of the generation. if you change the exponent from 2 to 1.05 at some point then it is no longer an "exponential" function (guess what happened to chip scaling?) if the exponent changes (EVER) then it's no longer "exponential", it's likely sigmoidal