3 ms·
As Silver himself wrote yesterday, Alaska's voting pattern was nothing short of bizarre, with Young, Stevens, and McCain getting votes at 12 to 14 percent each
by msg 18y ago
As Silver himself wrote yesterday, Alaska's voting pattern was nothing short of bizarre, with Young, Stevens, and McCain getting votes at 12 to 14 percent each above their pre-election polls, and turnout about 14 percent below 2004 levels.
"Indeed, it seems possible that the number of "questionable" ballots could be quite high. So far, about 220 thousand votes have been processed in Alaska. This compares with 313 thousand votes cast in 2004. After adding back in the roughly 50,000 absentee and early ballots that Roll Call accounts for, that would get us to 270 thousand ballots, or about a 14 percent drop from 2004. It seems unlikely that turnout would drop by 14 percent in Alaska given the presence of both a high-profile senate race and Sarah Palin at the top of the ticket."
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/what-in-hell-happened-in-alaska.html http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/what-in-hell-happened...
Read on for more of his WTF explanation. We should all stay tuned for this one.
- jwilliams 18y agoI'm not sure how it works, but I assumed the polls in Alaska closed quite a bit later than the other states? Perhaps seeing the coverage caused some voters to change their behaviour (ie. not vote)? (Nate muses on the same possible explanation in his post).