Try this exercise: Go through that article to find every specific prediction you can (e.g. broken glass & damaged foundations in the town 8.5km away). Then co

Try this exercise: Go through that article to find every specific prediction you can (e.g. broken glass & damaged foundations in the town 8.5km away). Then compare these to what happened. When I tried it, I found that they were more incorrect than they were correct and the biggest harms predicted were the things they were the most wrong about.