4 ms·

> If I’m big & you’re small & you’re growing faster, then it’s a matter of time before you surpass me. This is true: my son went from 50cm to 150cm in 13 years

> If I’m big & you’re small & you’re growing faster, then it’s a matter of time before you surpass me. This is true: my son went from 50cm to 150cm in 13 years, so when he turns 26 he should be roughly 250cm, then 350cm when he approaches 40.

wing-_-nuts 4y ago
So, you're suggesting the tech is on an S curve, and you might be right, but I think the top of that S curve is going to be much higher than you expect.
- croes 4y ago
  The same seemed to be true for self driving cars, still not in sight. Same could happen with GPTs. Could be boring if all companies suddenly have the same texts because the asked the same model the same questions. GPTs can write like somebody but they can't be somebody new.
  - zamnos 4y ago
    Sure they can. http://sumplete.com http://sumplete.com is a new puzzle game, which its author says was invented by ChatGPT. If ChatGPT couldn't do anything new, then how did that game come to be? Outside of a very limited test area and test market, self-driving cars have yet to even be used by the general public. Meanwhile ChatGPT's been adopted by en estimated 100 million people, many of which are using even just the free version to deliver value to the companies they work for. Maybe if ChatGPT was all hyped and unavailable to try by the masses it would sound like a lot more hot air, but it's open to anyone with an account, who can verify claims on their own. Not everyone will or has to walk away impressed, but when it does in a couple minutes what would have taken you a few hours, it's hard not to be.
    - croes 4y ago
      That's the problem. ChatGPT claimed and the user believed but it's wrong. GPTs remix, so they may create new variations but nothing really new.
    - toastmaster11 4y ago
      Sumplete is not an original game. Though points for an original name however. https://gizmodo.com/chatgpt-copy-sumplete-puzzle-game-summer-rullo-1850212198 https://gizmodo.com/chatgpt-copy-sumplete-puzzle-game-summer...
  - neysofu 4y ago
    Self-driving cars are very much in sight. Waymo and Cruise are scaling like crazy and the tech is maturing at a fast pace.
    - croes 4y ago
      In heavy rain and snow too? Because the few videos I saw had pretty easy weather conditions, and even there machines aren't as good as concentrated drivers.
    - pnt12 4y ago
      The video of Google driving a blind person to taco bell was uploaded 11 years ago. I don't think it's that fast paced.
teddyh 4y ago
https://xkcd.com/605/ https://xkcd.com/605/

wing-_-nuts 4y ago

So, you're suggesting the tech is on an S curve, and you might be right, but I think the top of that S curve is going to be much higher than you expect.

croes 4y ago
The same seemed to be true for self driving cars, still not in sight. Same could happen with GPTs. Could be boring if all companies suddenly have the same texts because the asked the same model the same questions. GPTs can write like somebody but they can't be somebody new.
- zamnos 4y ago
  Sure they can. http://sumplete.com http://sumplete.com is a new puzzle game, which its author says was invented by ChatGPT. If ChatGPT couldn't do anything new, then how did that game come to be? Outside of a very limited test area and test market, self-driving cars have yet to even be used by the general public. Meanwhile ChatGPT's been adopted by en estimated 100 million people, many of which are using even just the free version to deliver value to the companies they work for. Maybe if ChatGPT was all hyped and unavailable to try by the masses it would sound like a lot more hot air, but it's open to anyone with an account, who can verify claims on their own. Not everyone will or has to walk away impressed, but when it does in a couple minutes what would have taken you a few hours, it's hard not to be.
  - croes 4y ago
    That's the problem. ChatGPT claimed and the user believed but it's wrong. GPTs remix, so they may create new variations but nothing really new.
  - toastmaster11 4y ago
    Sumplete is not an original game. Though points for an original name however. https://gizmodo.com/chatgpt-copy-sumplete-puzzle-game-summer-rullo-1850212198 https://gizmodo.com/chatgpt-copy-sumplete-puzzle-game-summer...
- neysofu 4y ago
  Self-driving cars are very much in sight. Waymo and Cruise are scaling like crazy and the tech is maturing at a fast pace.
  - croes 4y ago
    In heavy rain and snow too? Because the few videos I saw had pretty easy weather conditions, and even there machines aren't as good as concentrated drivers.
  - pnt12 4y ago
    The video of Google driving a blind person to taco bell was uploaded 11 years ago. I don't think it's that fast paced.

teddyh 4y ago

https://xkcd.com/605/ https://xkcd.com/605/