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Exponential growth is never forever, it has to flatten out: otherwise it'd outgrown the planet's boundaries pretty quick, see malthusian fallacies.
by Joker_vD 4y ago
Exponential growth is never forever, it has to flatten out: otherwise it'd outgrown the planet's boundaries pretty quick, see malthusian fallacies.
- 13years 4y agoIt only has to reach the level of AGI. That is the goal of AI. Nonetheless, AI researchers predict exponential will include reaching some level of ASI.
- SideburnsOfDoom 4y agoCorrect, the question is, how soon will ChatGPT techniques top out? I suspect: a lot sooner than the optimistic "we're close to AGI!" crowd expect. Stochastic parroting is not in itself a route to AGI. It has real limitations. Mr Beck's assertion that grown means that we _will_ be surpassed in this matter is I think, not necessarily correct. We might, but I see it as unlikely, not inevitable. This is simply because the growth rate is never constant for ever, it tops out.