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As one of HN's resident climate doomerism skeptics, here is what's what: 1. Climate change is genuinely real. Some of it is probably human caused. That isn't l
by revelio 4y ago
As one of HN's resident climate doomerism skeptics, here is what's what:
1. Climate change is genuinely real. Some of it is probably human caused. That isn't likely to be a problem though as the climate has always changed, including in relatively recent history; i.e. it's not the case that the climate is stable if not for fossil fuels, and the evidence that this change is serious is of garbage quality. It's not serious and could easily go into reverse in the coming years even without any changes in human behavior. Additionally the assumption that change will continue in one direction forever is wrong, as is the assumption of exponential feedback loops.
2. Sea levels are genuinely rising. However they are rising very slowly, by tiny amounts, and this rise is so small it can be easily be offset by other factors like the land rising. This is why the Pacific islands have been growing over time instead of sinking, as we were assured for decades was a 100% dead cert outcome of climate change.
The key theme here is that whilst underlying changes may be real, the size, extent, confidence and expected duration are all exaggerated to the level that the conclusions become merely fashionable doomerism. And deep down people know it, hence why all the most vocal doomers act like they don't believe it: Al Gore buys ocean front property, climatologists fly around the world to international conferences at a greater rate than many other fields, the Pacific islanders build tourist resorts on the beaches, Greta Thunberg takes a boat across the Atlantic but the crew takes flights, etc.