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I'm not sure why you continued in this thread rather than in the other thread with more info and explanation as I suggested, but anyway... Even if we assume fo
by lapcat 4y ago
I'm not sure why you continued in this thread rather than in the other thread with more info and explanation as I suggested, but anyway...
Even if we assume for the sake of argument that "active_user_count" in https://api.joinmastodon.org/statistics https://api.joinmastodon.org/statistics is monthly active users, there's still a major problem with your daily estimate, because the monthly active user count is remarkably stable from day to day.
We have 32 days of data, and on most days the change in monthly active users is only around 5000, sometimes less. There was one day where the active user count dropped 13K, and one day where it grew 27K, but those are outliers.
How is it possible that ~92-96% of Mastodon users are not daily active users, yet the monthly active user count only changes from day to day by an average of less than 10K? Your numbers just don't add up. They don't even make sense, as far as human behavior is concerned, and it certainly doesn't align with what we see on every other social network.
They certainly seem to be very loyal, consistent monthly active users. I'm not sure what Twitter means exactly by a "daily" active user. I think I would have been considered one, but I also definitely missed days, so what qualifies or disqualifies an account as a daily active user? How many days can you miss?