I'm pretty sure most of the discussion here was suggesting that he could get one of these off the ground, but that it won't necessarily accomplish its goals. T

I'm pretty sure most of the discussion here was suggesting that he could get one of these off the ground, but that it won't necessarily accomplish its goals. The skepticism was more about whether the claimed cost reductions could be reached, whether the craft could do any sort of reasonable missions, or whether the desired launch cadence could be achieved. Falcon heavy is still doing 1 launch per year or so, so that doesn't seem to be a given at all.