I fall entirely in the unqualified category, but I will add that there are people as equally or more credentialed than you that disagree. I don't say this to be

I fall entirely in the unqualified category, but I will add that there are people as equally or more credentialed than you that disagree. I don't say this to be snotty, but just to add context for other people reading that there is a wide spectrum of beliefs among people qualified to make such statements > My take on this is that basically everything made possible in the last 20 years is because of GPUs and better tooling. I feel like part of the optimism on the part of people like Sam Altman is that it's true the recent advances are made possible due to computing power available, but the tools that we will now be able to create to develop AI systems better and faster is what will enable us to maintain the acceleration we're seeing right now. As a simple example, we've massively reduced the time and cost of training in only a couple-few years.