3 ms·
This is not AGI by any stretch of imagination. It is does not even appear to be a step on the path to AGI. Furthermore, due to autoregressive nature of GPT mod
by freediver 4y ago
This is not AGI by any stretch of imagination. It is does not even appear to be a step on the path to AGI.
Furthermore, due to autoregressive nature of GPT models, the more auto-gpt generates (the more it works, the more tasks it performs..) the chance of things going off the right path grow exponentially, and then it is 'doomed' to the end [1].
Thus, chance of this being actually useful for anything longer than what a simple prompt can already do with a tool like ChatGPT is very low.
The end result is an impressive concept but a practically unusable tool. And the problem, in general, is that as the auto-gpt improves (which it will at impressive pace), so will our ambition in using it, which will lead to constant disappointment and what we have today will be generally how we feel about it in the future. Always needing "just a bit more", but never really there.
We already have a "baby AGI" that has been deployed in production environment for a few years - it is called Tesla self driving. It was supposed to get us from point a to point b completely autonomously. And for 6 years now it has been almost "almost there", but never really there (and arguably never will be).
What this does though, is create and inflate a giant FOMO, and the best way of dealing with FOMOs (long term) is to stay on the firm ground, observe, wait for clarity and the right action.
[1] Watch in particular Yann LeCun's presentation at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x10964w00zk https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x10964w00zk
- brookst 4y agoI kind of agree but I really don't see Tesla self-driving as even aspirational to AGI. It seems like the poster child for a domain specific AI that nobody has an interest in making general.
- freediver 4y agoArguably you need AGI to drive from point a to point b in human conditions (not in controlled conditions)
- 93po 4y agoArguably you need greater than human intelligence because humans mess this up and crash all the time
- kaba0 4y agoNot due to lack of intelligence.
- brookst 4y agoWhy does it need to be general? When would it need to write essays about the Romans, or determine novel gene functions, or do forensic accounting? AGI means it can do any task. I’m not seeing driving, as complicated as it is, as requiring truly general intelligence.
- qualudeheart 4y agoCan the exponential probability increase mentioned by LeCun be mitigated, for example with an approximation? Lots of algorithms like nearest neighbor search are O(n^2) but algorithms for approximate results run in sublinear time.