Just as in Pascal's wager, the conclusion relies on the unwarranted assumption which privileges a particular outcome over its exact opposite - e.g. a diety with

Just as in Pascal's wager, the conclusion relies on the unwarranted assumption which privileges a particular outcome over its exact opposite - e.g. a diety with exactly inverted criteria for heaven and hell, punishing those who believe in Christian God, and "Roko's antibasilisk", which spares those people who'd get punished by Roko's basilisk and punishes everyone else.