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It's a dispute of the implied claim that a developed nation with women's rights can't have high birth rates. > known reliable way solution that generalizes Wh
by Bran_son 3y ago
It's a dispute of the implied claim that a developed nation with women's rights can't have high birth rates.
> known reliable way solution that generalizes
Why all these qualifiers? It doesn't have to be reliable or general - individual countries can each have their own approach, that only works after lots of tweaking, and even just intermittently, as long as it time-averages to replacement level. And it won't become known unless we look for it - more than the occasional sporadic attempt by a government that gets decried as racist and sexist for their efforts [1].
> exactly like Israel
Why "exactly"? If someone pointed to Japan when searching for solutions to reduce heart disease or medical costs in the US, would you also say "become exactly like Japan" isn't an option? Many countries similar to Israel have low fertility, while many very dissimilar ones have high fertility. Clearly, being exactly like Israel isn't necessary.
[1] 'Baby machines': eastern Europe's answer to depopulation - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/04/baby-bonuses-fit-the-nationalist-agenda-but-do-they-work https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/04/baby-bonuses-f...
- thfuran 3y ago>only works after lots of tweaking, and even just intermittently, as long as it time-averages to replacement level. That sounds like an unending series of demographic shocks and may well be worse than the original problem.
- Bran_son 3y agoThey are only shocks if the fertility rate fluctuations have a high amplitude and period longer than ~20 years. For example, if the rate varies between 1.8 and 2.4, on a 20 year time-scale, then they won't be "shocks", but mere gentle waves.