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> AGI + developing economies I wouldn't be so sure about that because of the Region Beta paradox. Developed countries have processes that work, making all of t

> AGI + developing economies I wouldn't be so sure about that because of the Region Beta paradox. Developed countries have processes that work, making all of them digital and connected is often a bigger uphill battle than starting from zero and doing it right the first time. See also communication infrastructure in developing economies. It's often much easier to get good internet connection (in reasonably populated areas) if there is no 100-year-old copper infrastructure around that is "good enough" for many.

ethbr0 4y ago
Fair point! On the one hand, I'd say developed countries are much farther along in digitizing (as part of efficiency optimization) their processes. Mostly by virtue that their companies are essentially management/orchestration processes on top of subcontracted manufacturing. On the other hand, it gives developing countries an opportunity to skip the legacy step and go right to the state of the art. I'm still skeptical the latter will dominate though. I'd assume most of the developing world is still operating "good enough to work" processes, which are largely manual. Digitizing those processes will be a nightmare, because it plays out on organizational-political timespans.