> ... because it WILL happen eventually given enough goes. I'm not a statistician, but I don't think that's how that works. Given enough events, the likelihoo

> ... because it WILL happen eventually given enough goes. I'm not a statistician, but I don't think that's how that works. Given enough events, the likelihood of something happening goes up, but it never becomes a certainty. Likewise when the statistical 100 year statistical storm happens, the next one is not 100 years away. It could happen the following week without violating the underlying statistics. (Of course if a 100 year storm keeps happening year after year, then the threshold for what is likely to happen once in a hundred years probably needs to be revised.)