3 ms·

I think you are overestimating complexity of most office jobs.

• simonh 4y ago
  A lot of the simplest office jobs like typist and most managers personal secretaries have already been replaced. These tools will increase productivity which will deprecate some jobs, but that is not at all the same thing as reducing overall employment.
  • tekknik 4y ago
    This is a real hand wavy way to look at it. How about on the individual level? How is an individual affected by this and can you put yourself in their shoes?
    • simonh 4y ago
      I can’t tell you which individual people will lose their jobs, or even which specific jobs will end up being cut and why. Can you? We’re both just making different estimates of the likely overall effects. I’m basing mine in the known historical effects of automation on economies and employment, and the fact that previous arguments that were all doomed by it have every single time turned out to be false.
      • tekknik 4y ago
        No, nobody can and that’s the point. Except the flaw in your thinking is your applying what happened in the past to the present. Nobody has every automated a human brain before, they mostly automated muscles away. This time is different so therefore you cannot assume that since a welding robot didn’t destroy the world that AI won’t. Automation and AI are not the same and we should quit calling it as such.