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What prior do you have to think a particular city is exceptional, such as in the types of crime? I often hear claims like this, such as about catalytic convert
by AaronFriel 4y ago
What prior do you have to think a particular city is exceptional, such as in the types of crime?
I often hear claims like this, such as about catalytic converter theft, and I think: that happens back home in Midwest, rural Iowa. Des Moines, Iowa has a similar crime rate to San Francisco! There aren't order of magnitude differences between my small home town, where I was born, or any other town I could find.
Don't let news reports overwhelm your availability heuristic. If crime rates are roughly similar everywhere, but some cities are more dense yet share a common news or media environment, what does that suggest?
- trilbyglens 4y agoWhile the south has more crime, it also has less random crime. Probably California falls into the same bucket as the other northern states in having more random crime.
- AaronFriel 4y agoWhy do you believe that?