Patriots should be there by summer, and IHAWK launchers as well from Spain (with refurbed US missiles). Italy and France are providing at least one SAMP/T syste

Patriots should be there by summer, and IHAWK launchers as well from Spain (with refurbed US missiles). Italy and France are providing at least one SAMP/T system, which is comparable to the Patriot. That system should arrive this spring. I think Ukraine has been getting reloads of 9M82/9M83 from either Slovakia or Bulgaria. But the issue isn't reloads so much as TELs. Ukraine has pretty deep missile inventories, but not enough TOR/BUK/S300V launchers and radars. Eventually they'll run out of spares and need to rely completely on Western SAMs. I can't see the VKS risking any bombers over Ukraine. They'll continue to use them for launching missiles from Belgograd Oblast, but the PR damage if a Backfire or Blackjack was shot down would be unbearable to the Russians.