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> Besides it being impossible to implement, the 6-month pause would do nothing but give a 6 month competitive advantage to OpenAI over everybody else. This lin
by haswell 4y ago
> Besides it being impossible to implement, the 6-month pause would do nothing but give a 6 month competitive advantage to OpenAI over everybody else.
This line is at the very center of why we will eventually drive ourselves to extinction. I agree that it is not possible to magically press some pause button, but neither does this mean that the concerns are unfounded.
It could be 100% true that pausing gives OpenAI a competitive advantage, and it would have zero bearing on the actual or imagined risks that such a pause would or wouldn't avert.
Almost every time this subject comes up, everyone involved falls into the trap/fallacy of binary thought and false dichotomy. As soon as the "anti" crowd speaks, the "pro" crowd moves into refutation mode. As soon as the "pro" crowd speaks and calls attention to all of the possible benefit, the "anti" crowd falls back to the same base position.
While we argue about this infinitely complex issue in binary terms, we're bringing about the very thing that concerns everyone. Whether or not AI will eventually destroy the world, we keep forgetting to actually figure out if this is a real concern, and instead argue about the economic pros and cons and inevitable competitive advantage that someone might gain, as if that's somehow important to the underlying issue.
All of which is to entirely miss the point. As long as we continue to argue about why AI is good or bad, and why a pause is impossible or undesirable, we continue to miss the point that it's both good and bad, a pause probably is impossible, but that doesn't in any way remove or mitigate the concerns behind the call for a pause, or reduce the validity of those concerns.
We need to have an intellectually honest and nuanced conversation about this problem, and while such a conversation should acknowledge the reality that a capitalist environment plays, it should also acknowledge that the concerns transcend that reality. And it should acknowledge that when idealistic positions such as "pause for 6 months" turn out to be impossible, that just means the problem is harder to solve, not that the underlying issue doesn't exist.
- sebzim4500 4y agoPersonally, I think that the biggest dangers of these AIs arise from them being in the hands of the few rather than the many. From that perspective, giving an artificial 6 month advantage to the current market leader looks insane.