> But in 2011, Koomey re-examined this data[2] and found that after 2000, the doubling slowed to about once every 2.6 years. Koomey's own actual post from 2011

> But in 2011, Koomey re-examined this data[2] and found that after 2000, the doubling slowed to about once every 2.6 years. Koomey's own actual post from 2011 still showed consumer systems matching the 1.57 slope up to that time, FWIW. https://www.koomey.com/post/14466436072 https://www.koomey.com/post/14466436072 Wikipedia mis-cited it in the text and should have said "But in 2016". However, the 2016 analysis misses the A11 Bionic through A16 Bionic and M1 and M2 processors -- which instantly blew way past their competitors, breaking the temporary slump around 2016 and reverting us back to the mean slope. Mainly because now they're analyzing only "supercomputers" and honestly that arena has changed, where quite a bit of the HPC work has moved to the cloud [e.g. Graviton] (not all of it, but a lot), and I don't think they're analyzing TPU pods, which also probably have far better TOPS/watt than traditional supercomputers like the ones on top500.org.