4 ms·
I still don't know if we have enough distance to evaluate the pandemic in a productive way. But here are my thoughts: - So isn't this article conflating two t
by zug_zug 4y ago
I still don't know if we have enough distance to evaluate the pandemic in a productive way.
But here are my thoughts:
- So isn't this article conflating two things. There is the fatality rate of covid when it started, and the fatality rate "over 3 years." It's my understanding that general consensus is that the later variants were less severe as the virus evolves to be less deadly (as happened with Spanish flu).
- Also, the official count is 1 million deaths in America. Current population 339 million. So by those numbers the fatality rate must be at a minimum (assuming EVERYBODY GOT IT, so underestimate) .29%. The author proposed it was between .01% and .05%.
So author almost certainly wasn't right. Of course it's not like other people weren't wrong in the other direction too.
Also, sometimes you can be right in hindsight but if nobody can understand your reasoning of course they will doubt you.
Anyways, this topic is too nuanced and emotional, and somebody wanting to talk about it still is usually a signal against their ability to discuss it emotionlessly/factually.