>We’re much closer than we were 20 years After the collapse of the Soviet Union settled, it has been the most peaceful time in human history (at least for semi

>We’re much closer than we were 20 years After the collapse of the Soviet Union settled, it has been the most peaceful time in human history (at least for semi-developed nations). A moderate amount of hostility is to be expected as China has approached superpower status. This is still no where near Cold War levels. >Nobody believed Russia would actually invade Ukraine This was always a possibility after Crimea. People just assumed that Putin wasn't stupid enough to through with it. >nor that Xi would be foolish enough to scare away Taiwan by muscling in on Hong Kong. Ever since the British gave up Hong Kong, China has agreed that they will allow it to be autonomous until 2047. We're already at the half way point, so China is slowly tightening it's grip on them. One big difference between Taiwan and Ukraine is that Russia shares a large land border with it. Traditional wisdom dictates that you need at least 1 troop for every 40 inhabitants, which is over half a million for Taiwan. China simply does not have the navy to move that number of personale. If they ever hope to invade Taiwan, they would have to prepare for a D-Day level of operation, which would be immediately obvious to intelligence.