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So assuming the same output is required, if people wielding AI are more productive, you'll need less people. . But we're missing an important point, as far as
by jacknews 4y ago
So assuming the same output is required, if people wielding AI are more productive, you'll need less people.
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But we're missing an important point, as far as software development or at least web development/user-centered apps goes at least, if not many other situations; We will need less software, not more, and the software we will need will be much more infrastructure and 'industrial'.
For example, currently I might go to a units conversion website to do a quick cooking calculation. chatGPT.
I go to a weather website (always via google, because I never remember the website names) to check the weather. chatGPT.
I want some information on my stocks, and their outlook. chatGPT - can summarize the price movements and the 'buzz' around said stocks without wading through pages of web UI.
I want to book a holiday. Instead of wading through ad- and promotion- laden booking sites, chatGPT.
The authors example of 'writing articles'. Why bother reading them? Unless it's reading for pleasure, do I want to seek out a particular publication and wade through a load of fluff to get the meat of what I want to inform myself about? No, just ask chatGPT.
Sure it's going to have to learn to present results neatly in tables and pictures and so on, and it's going to have to use plugins to get actual answers to some things. And I don't want to have to type at it all the time, so I'll want some 'promptmarks' or something more sophisticated.
But all these websites that we're worried GPT will write for us, unemploying developers - it's 'worse' than that - the sites won't be needed to start with.
As for other stuff, say news, why bother getting chatGPT to write a styory for a page on NYT or whatever. I can just ask GPT 'whats up' and it'll tell me news.
Sure for all this, it's not quite there yet, but I think the writing is on the chat-box, er, wall.
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The other main issue being missed is capitalism. We've enjoyed a golden age of creation where basically all you need is a laptop and some open-source software, and you can code, or write articles, draw artwoks or whatever. Albeit you have to use infratructure to distribute that code or make it available online etc.
With AI, the means of production will suddenly change from a laptop, to multi-million dollar models, owned by someone else. That could have a profound effect on who gets to create, and under what conditions.