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I sort of agree with you in the most extreme case, ie "computers taking our jobs" means AGI. I'm not even sure that LLMs take you to AGI fwiw. Obviously we also
by jmfldn 4y ago
I sort of agree with you in the most extreme case, ie "computers taking our jobs" means AGI. I'm not even sure that LLMs take you to AGI fwiw. Obviously we also need to define what we mean by AGI too.
Anyway, all of that aside my point is this. AGI-aside, the current tools, scaled up and improved, will have a big impact on productivity eventually. When I think of the toil so much development involves now, especially for your average mid-level engineer, a lot of that could easily be eliminated. That's a lot of man hours right there. I can also see it as a knowledge base on steroids. Large orgs are so hampered by fragmented docs, misalignment etc, that this could really help to build business and domain insights.
I see any number of transformative business /dev products to start appearing soon. The level of investment, and the technical progress, make this inevitable.