I think you might find this article relevant: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fFY2HeC9i2Tx8FEnK/luck-based-medicine-my-resentful-story-of-becoming-a-medical ht

I think you might find this article relevant: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fFY2HeC9i2Tx8FEnK/luck-based-medicine-my-resentful-story-of-becoming-a-medical https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fFY2HeC9i2Tx8FEnK/luck-based...