I don’t think those examples are believable, there’s a ton of hand waving like “secretly hack and install secret copies” and “automate the economy” (what does t

I don’t think those examples are believable, there’s a ton of hand waving like “secretly hack and install secret copies” and “automate the economy” (what does that even mean) (In science fiction everyone gets a perfect robot butler. In the real world, the poorest 20% never get one, another 20% cancel the monthly subscription, another chunk forget to keep it charged or accidentally pour juice on it or live inside a concrete apartment that blocks the satellite signal that now is the time to use the sharp knife) I don’t think the analogy holds either. Chimpanzees were not smart enough to invent humans. The higher you ascend levels of intelligence, the higher ability you have both to imagine what a higher level would be like and to understand potential constraints it might have. A lack of imagination is not evidence against the hypothesis, but it’s also not evidence that the probability is more than 1 in a billion (or whatever)